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MIA (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 28, 2007 at 7:19 am

Apologies for the lack of posts this week - real life occasionally gets in the way of obsessive sports blogging. I’ll have something up on the Final Four before the weekend, as well as a look at Cal’s defensive line in ‘07. Take care and Go Bears!!!

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THIRD DOWN (PART TWO) (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 22, 2007 at 2:43 pm

Among many interesting things about Brian’s 3rd down charts at MGoBlog is the following: teams employing the zone read option do pretty well in 3rd and short situations. Well, that’s not quite precise. Teams with mobile quarterbacks that run the zone…

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THIRD DOWN (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 20, 2007 at 8:50 am

A couple of months ago we took a look at Cal’s play-calling in 2nd down and short situations. As expected, the data supported the notion that the Bears were pretty conservative and not very successful in these situations, leading to a fair number of 3…

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CLEANING OUT THE DESK (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 19, 2007 at 10:20 am

The Pac-10 has three teams in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2002. Good for the conference, and good for Cal. Conference success = more pressure on Sandy to take this program to the next level. On a related note, I want to hire Tim Floyd.Of t…

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THE NAKED TRUTH (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 16, 2007 at 3:08 pm

What better way to start off your St. Patrick’s Day revelry than by joining a bunch of naked protesters at the Oaks. From 10 to noon tomorrow, you too can join the rogues gallery of anti-University agitators in ditching your clothes and lying awkwardl…

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DAY ONE THOUGHTS (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 16, 2007 at 9:02 am

Only got to viddy parts of a couple of contests due to work. I did see what I needed to see from Washington State, and I am chagrined by my lack of faith in The Hated One and his charges. Bennett showed today why he’s going to be a better coach than …

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TIGHTWAD HILL’S BRACKET (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 14, 2007 at 1:00 pm

The following is the result of a combination of statistical analysis (Pomeroy, ASM, etc) and gut instinct. It is almost certainly wrong, so please do not take it seriously or change your bracket based on what you read here. This is primarily for your …

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CINDERELLAS (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 13, 2007 at 5:00 pm

Here’s a guard-heavy ten man roster of my favorite Cinderella players since the NCAAs expanded to 64 teams in 1985. All of these guys played a major role in leading their teams to first-round upsets.Guards:Bryce Drew, Valparaiso (1998). The play. Th…

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MORE ON THE BRACKETS (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 13, 2007 at 9:17 am

Ken Pomeroy’s rolling out his preview today. He uses an algorithm called log5 to express each team’s Tourney chances as a percentage. It’s fascinating stuff that I highly recommend. The great thing about Pomeroy is he knows both hoops and math, and …

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TOP SECRET SPRING PRACTICE REPORT (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 12, 2007 at 8:31 pm

No, just kidding - Cal as expected has closed spring practice to the public. I’ll never understand why fans bitch about this. I’m as big a Cal fan as the next guy, and the quality of my life isn’t compromised by JT closing practices. What are we mis…

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GUIDE TO THE NCAA BRACKET (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 12, 2007 at 4:15 pm

Many of you are looking at your brackets and wondering which upsets to pick. It’s useful to look at historical trends, and also to look at a statistic called Adjusted Scoring Margin. ASM measures the margin of victory (and defeat) for tournament team…

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THE BRACKETS - FIRST IMPRESSIONS (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 10, 2007 at 7:50 pm

First off, any of you who harbored hope of a miracle NIT bid for our Bears should check the invite list. Washington didn’t get an NIT bid, so it’s clear Cal was never in the mix. Aside #1: Washington was a regional cover for the frickin’ SI college h…

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THAT’S THAT (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 9, 2007 at 10:16 pm

An incredible first half by Oregon was too much to overcome for the Bears, whose season ends with a 81-63 loss. The Ducks are peaking at the right time, and could make a nice run in March if they continue to play sound defense and move as well as they…

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PAC-10 SEMIS - CAL v OREGON (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 9, 2007 at 11:18 am

Who would’ve thunk it? Cal will now play its third game in 72 hours against the Oregon Ducks, who aren’t the best opponent for a tired bunch of Bears. The Ducks are smallish and quick, and our Bears have tailed off in the second half of each of the p…

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CAL “PISTOL-WHIPS” UCLA (Tightwad Hill)

Posted March 8, 2007 at 9:12 pm

What the hell just happened? (AP/Matt Sayles)Not really, of course, but I just had to make light of the least accurate prediction in a long line of really bad Tightwad Hill predictions.This game was all about Ayinde Ubaka. 29 points, 5-6 from three, a…

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